{"id":56016,"date":"2026-01-14T17:10:46","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T16:10:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swissgrc.com\/en\/?p=56016"},"modified":"2026-01-14T17:10:46","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T16:10:46","slug":"rapport-risques-mondiaux-2026-ia-geoeconomie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swissgrc.com\/fr\/rapport-risques-mondiaux-2026-ia-geoeconomie\/","title":{"rendered":"Global Risks Report 2026 : comment la g\u00e9o\u00e9conomie, l&rsquo;IA et les fractures soci\u00e9tales redessinent le risque"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"56016\" class=\"elementor elementor-56016\" data-elementor-settings=\"{&quot;ha_cmc_init_switcher&quot;:&quot;no&quot;}\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-35a9138 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"35a9138\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-73cd8ab\" data-id=\"73cd8ab\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5b9f303 tt elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5b9f303\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The annual Global Risks Report published by the World Economic Forum remains one of the most closely followed publications for leaders in business, government, and civil society. Drawing on the perspectives of more than 1,300 global experts, the 2026 edition captures a world entering an \u201cAge of Competition,\u201d where geoeconomic rivalry, rapid technological acceleration, and deepening societal fragmentation are reshaping the global risk landscape.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>More than a snapshot of individual threats, the report highlights how risks are increasingly interconnected, compounding, and unfolding at a pace that challenges traditional governance and risk management approaches. Taken together, these findings point to a broader shift in the nature of global risk. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/publications\/global-risks-report-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Global Risks Report 2026<\/a> arrives at a moment when uncertainty is no longer episodic but structural. Based on insights from more than 1,300 global leaders and experts, the report depicts a world entering what it defines as an \u201cAge of Competition\u201d. The latter is characterized by intensified geoeconomic rivalry, accelerating technological change, and deepening societal fragmentation.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond individual risk rankings, the report reveals a more consequential development: risks are compounding faster than governance and decision-making structures are adapting. For organizations operating across jurisdictions, technologies, and value chains, this shift fundamentally alters how risk must be understood and managed.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-35fe993 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"35fe993\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"1000\" src=\"https:\/\/swissgrc.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/responsive_large_webp_hAb9HOYJNrGoXD36AucR9JYsngF3CGj59vZNda7e0t8-819x1024.webp\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-56021\" alt=\"Global risks ranked by severity\" srcset=\"https:\/\/swissgrc.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/responsive_large_webp_hAb9HOYJNrGoXD36AucR9JYsngF3CGj59vZNda7e0t8-819x1024.webp 819w, https:\/\/swissgrc.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/responsive_large_webp_hAb9HOYJNrGoXD36AucR9JYsngF3CGj59vZNda7e0t8-240x300.webp 240w, https:\/\/swissgrc.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/responsive_large_webp_hAb9HOYJNrGoXD36AucR9JYsngF3CGj59vZNda7e0t8-768x960.webp 768w, https:\/\/swissgrc.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/responsive_large_webp_hAb9HOYJNrGoXD36AucR9JYsngF3CGj59vZNda7e0t8.webp 850w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-570026f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"570026f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Geoeconomic confrontation moves to the centre of the risk landscape<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f8d0b1e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f8d0b1e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>For the first time, <strong>geoeconomic confrontation<\/strong> ranks as the most severe short-term global risk, identified by 18% of respondents as the risk most likely to trigger a material global crisis in 2026. It also holds the top position in the two-year outlook to 2028, reflecting sustained concern rather than a temporary spike.<\/p>\n<p>The significance of this finding lies not only in its ranking, but in its breadth. Geoeconomic confrontation encompasses sanctions, export controls, investment screening, subsidies, and supply-chain restrictions. These are measures increasingly deployed in pursuit of national security and strategic autonomy.<\/p>\n<p>For organizations, this translates into heightened exposure across multiple dimensions simultaneously: regulatory compliance, third-party dependencies, data flows, technology access, and market participation. Risk is no longer confined to operational failure or financial volatility; it is increasingly shaped by policy-driven fragmentation of the global economy.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8e87abf elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"8e87abf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Economic risks are rising sharply in the near term<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-538bd03 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"538bd03\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The report identifies economic risks as the category with the sharpest increase in perceived severity over the next two years. Compared with the previous edition:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Economic downturn rises eight positions to rank 11th<\/li>\n<li>Inflation rises eight positions to 21st<br \/>Asset bubble burst rises seven positions to 18th<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\u00a0<\/div>\n<p>These shifts reflect concerns around high debt burdens, volatile markets, and the interaction between economic stress and geopolitical tensions. Importantly, the report shows that economic risks are closely interconnected with inequality, which remains the most interconnected global risk for the second consecutive year. This reinforces an important insight: economic shocks do not occur in isolation. Their impact is magnified where social trust is fragile and institutional capacity is strained.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d252e6f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d252e6f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Technology risks accelerate, with AI emerging as a long-term concern<\/p>\n<p><strong><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-102a066 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"102a066\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Technological risks continue to rise in prominence. In the two-year outlook, <strong>misinformation<\/strong> and <strong>disinformation<\/strong> rank second overall, while <strong>cyber insecurity<\/strong> ranks sixth. Both are already shaping the operational and reputational risk landscape for organizations. More notably, adverse outcomes of AI technologies show the largest increase in ranking between the short-term and long-term horizons, moving from near the bottom of the two-year ranking to fifth place in the 10-year outlook.<\/p>\n<p>This trajectory reflects growing awareness that AI-related risks, ranging from biased decision-making and opaque algorithms to large-scale misinformation, will intensify as adoption accelerates. The report positions AI not as a standalone risk, but as a cross-cutting amplifier of societal, economic, and security challenges. From a governance perspective, this reinforces the importance of structured oversight, clear accountability, and lifecycle-based risk management for AI systems. These are issues increasingly addressed through emerging regulatory frameworks.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-214c819 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"214c819\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Societal polarization and inequality act as risk multipliers<\/p>\n<p><strong><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-25c2b32 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"25c2b32\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Societal risks remain a defining feature of the global outlook. <strong>Societal polarization<\/strong> ranks fourth in the current risk landscape, while <strong>inequality<\/strong> ranks tenth in the short term and seventh in the 10-year outlook.<\/p>\n<p>What distinguishes these risks is their <strong>degree of interconnectedness.<\/strong> The report\u2019s interconnections analysis shows inequality influencing a wide range of other risks, including economic downturn, misinformation, erosion of civic freedoms, and social unrest. For organizations, this has direct implications. Operating environments marked by declining trust and heightened polarization tend to experience:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Faster escalation of reputational incidents<\/li>\n<li>Greater regulatory scrutiny<\/li>\n<li>Reduced tolerance for opaque or inconsistent decision-making<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\u00a0<\/div>\n<p>Societal context, therefore, becomes a material factor in enterprise risk exposure, not merely a background condition.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b40317c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b40317c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Infrastructure and resilience under growing pressure<\/p>\n<p><strong><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5e60931 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5e60931\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Another key theme in the report is the vulnerability of <strong>critical infrastructure<\/strong>, both physical and digital. <strong>Disruptions to critical infrastructure<\/strong> rise four positions in the short-term outlook, reflecting concerns over cyberattacks, ageing systems, climate-related stress, and geopolitical targeting. The report highlights infrastructure as an increasingly contested domain, where failures can cascade rapidly across sectors and borders. This reinforces the need for organizations to understand not only their own resilience, but also their dependencies on third parties, service providers, and interconnected systems.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a750a3f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a750a3f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A demanding outlook for decision-makers<\/p>\n<p><strong><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a49ee5b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a49ee5b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The overall sentiment captured in the report is sobering. 50% of surveyed leaders and experts expect a turbulent or stormy global outlook over the next two years, rising to 57% over the next decade. Only 1% anticipate a calm outlook across either time horizon.<\/p>\n<p>This reflects a recognition that traditional risk models, often linear, siloed, and retrospective, are increasingly misaligned with today\u2019s risk dynamics. The challenges ahead are not defined by single shocks, but by the interaction of multiple stressors unfolding at speed.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5474689 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5474689\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Conclusion<\/p>\n<p><strong><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4b7ffde elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4b7ffde\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p data-start=\"309\" data-end=\"687\">The Global Risks Report 2026 underscores a fundamental shift: risk has become more interconnected, more politicised, and more accelerated than the systems traditionally used to manage it. Geoeconomic rivalry, technological acceleration, and societal fragmentation are no longer parallel developments; they are mutually reinforcing forces reshaping the global risk landscape.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"689\" data-end=\"1066\">For organizations, this places a premium on integrated governance, forward-looking risk management, and resilience-oriented decision-making. The ability to understand interdependencies across domains, anticipate compounding effects, and demonstrate consistent oversight will increasingly differentiate those that can navigate uncertainty from those that merely react to it.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1068\" data-end=\"1594\">In this context, the evolution of risk governance is inseparable from the evolution of the tools that support it. Fragmented spreadsheets, isolated controls, and static reporting are poorly suited to a risk environment defined by speed, connectivity, and regulatory complexity. Platforms such as the <a href=\"https:\/\/swissgrc.com\/en\/solutions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GRC Toolbox<\/a>, designed to integrate governance, risk, and compliance across domains, reflect how organizations are beginning to operationalise the kind of holistic, adaptive risk management that the report implicitly calls for.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1596\" data-end=\"1814\">Seen this way, the Global Risks Report 2026 is not only a diagnosis of global risk, but a clear signal: <strong data-start=\"1700\" data-end=\"1813\">the way risk is governed and the systems that underpin it must evolve just as rapidly as the risks themselves<\/strong>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Global Risks Report annuel, publi\u00e9 par le Forum \u00e9conomique mondial, reste l&rsquo;une des publications les plus suivies par les dirigeants du monde des affaires, des gouvernements et de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 civile. S&rsquo;appuyant sur les points de vue de plus de 1 300 experts internationaux, l&rsquo;\u00e9dition 2026 d\u00e9peint un monde entrant dans une \u00ab \u00e8re de comp\u00e9tition \u00bb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":56018,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_eb_attr":"","_swissgrc_real_author":"Yahya Mohamed Mao","real_author_title":"Chief Marketing Officer","real_author_bio":"Yahya Mohamed Mao est Chief Marketing Officer et membre du comit\u00e9 de direction de Swiss GRC. Dans ce r\u00f4le, il pilote la strat\u00e9gie marketing et communication mondiale de l'entreprise, fa\u00e7onnant le positionnement de marque et l'expansion sur les march\u00e9s cl\u00e9s.","real_author_photo":54996,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[16],"class_list":["post-56016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-industry-news","tag-first"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.3 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le Global Risks Report annuel, publi\u00e9 par le Forum \u00e9conomique mondial, reste l&#039;une des publications les plus suivies par les dirigeants du monde des affaires, des gouvernements et de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 civile. 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